Fans of the Magpies are increasingly viewing Eddie Howe's squad as an inconsistent companion. At their brilliant best, they prove to be the undisputed entertainers, delivering high-octane exhibitions. However, on other occasions, once-dependable individuals like Sandro Tonali and his teammates completely do not show up.
Adding to these problems is a late-game approach suffused by a pronounced streak of disorganization. Before their Boxing Day to Manchester United, the statistics paint a concerning story: the team has let slip thirteen crucial top-flight leverage from leading positions this campaign and are without a shutout in ten consecutive outings in every tournament. Securing victory at their famous stadium would constitute only their second-ever domestic triumph on the travel this year.
On the flip side, a loss has been tasted on one occasion in their previous 6 Premier League fixtures, and although sitting in a seemingly lowly 11th place, they remain a only 6 points away from the highly-prized Champions League places. Factor in an upcoming two-part Carabao Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a decent chance of progressing to the European Cup last 16, and it becomes simpler to appreciate the manager's cautious hope.
“We don't just have problems,” stated the team's boss. “There are strengths as well. My glass is firmly optimistic right now. I know everybody else may hold a divergent take, but my belief is we're getting better.”
The challenge remains: can this squad match – or even exceed – the achievements of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and European-qualifying standing? Managing a hectic calendar hinders.
The resulting tiredness could be the reason behind the failure to uphold a brilliant first-half showing versus their London rivals, ultimately surrendering a two-goal lead to draw 2-2. Likewise, it is possibly the explanation for a poor performance in a painful defeat to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side seemed sluggish just days after a tough Champions League excursion.
While on-field instruction is clearly the manager's strength, the relentless grind of twice-weekly matches has radically cut into valuable training hours. This hinders the team's stylistic adaptation to operating with summer signing Nick Woltemade leading the line, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. While extremely gifted, the German forward lacks the equivalent blistering breakaway pace or ferocious defensive work rate.
In fact, the team's once-formidable pressing game has occasionally malfunctioned. Injuries to vital component the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while high-profile signings the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have found it tough adapting since their combined £90m+ moves.
While a change to a back three could arguably help the team, a worsening backline injury crisis renders that problematic. Key defenders will be absent for the upcoming key fixtures, straining the team's depth.
At their energetic peak, they look almost unplayable. The issue is sustaining that level for the full 90 minutes. The often-seen alternative approach of dropping deep into a deep-lying defensive shape has sometimes proven counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match descended into anarchic at 2-2,” admitted the manager. “However we were going for the victory. We always go out to secure the three points.”
What seems necessary is a pragmatic solution – involving superior ball retention, a engine room capable of slowing the tempo, and a realistic readiness to sometimes settle for a draw. Yet, a ambition to challenge on all fronts is testing limited player options to their breaking point.
This might seem sacrilegious to some, but a more selective approach in the cup competitions earlier could have alleviated the present fixture congestion. With critical European and Premier League games on the horizon, the imperative to carefully choose focus areas is growing ever more obvious.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the scale of the journey ahead. “Being at this club, the demands are enormous. Each game is critical. We have work to do in the league. We're in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we aim to go through in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have plenty of improvement to do to become the regularly successful side we want to be. Our capacity to string together sequences of victories has escaped us so far.
“The objective is to reach those levels we know we're able to reach. My feeling is that the assurance we can achieve it is growing. Yet nowadays we have to show it. It ain't all doom and gloom right now, but the next few weeks will determine much.”